Xpediator PLChttp://xpediator.com/ TICKER: XPD EXCHANGE: AIM
Xpediator Plc is an integrated freight management business operating in the supply chain logistics and fulfilment sector across the UK and Europe with a particular focus on, and expertise in, CEE countries.
Xpediator’s pre-close trading update said that revenues and profits are both in-line with market expectations. Top-line growth was significantly ahead, rising 54% y-o-y to c.£179m (c.1% ahead of ED estimate), while profits have more than doubled to c.£7.1m. The uplift to revenues has been driven by organic growth, most notably in Freight Forwarding (Baltics and Balkans), Pall-Ex Romania, and Affinity. Plus, there were benefits from the acquisition of ISL and Anglia Forwarding in 2018, and Regional Express in late 2017.
The significant improvement in revenues in the Group’s operations in the Baltic states and the Balkans, despite challenging comparatives, reflects the continued development of the customer base within the Freight Forwarding division and the rising revenues from Greece (via the Group’s Bulgarian operations).
There is a comprehensive investment programme underway during FY2019F, which is likely to boost central headcount. There will be further improvement in systems and expansion of the warehousing footprint. We think this is likely to have a small short-term impact on margins in FY2019F, but then resulting in ongoing improvement in returns as early as FY2020F onwards.
Management has suggested that the acquisition pipeline remains strong, as do the opportunities for organic growth. With approximately two-thirds of revenues generated outside of the UK, we believe that the share price has recently over-reacted to Brexit uncertainty and as a result consider it on attractive valuations currently. Xpediator’s shares are now at a FY2019F PER of just 10.9x and well below our valuation of 85p.
Foreign buyers gorging on UK stocks
Document can be downloaded here: UK plc ‘going for a song’
Being a shareholder in a company that receives a juicy takeover offer is a marvellous feeling. Something that many fortunate investors have experienced over the past 3 years. Thanks to a spate of M&A bids by deep pocketed overseas buyers – partly triggered by the June 2016 Brexit result, which sent the £ tumbling and adversely affected the FTSE.
Consequently today, given this trend is unlikely to end anytime soon, we’ve highlighted 30 possible acquisition ideas in the attached research paper. Spilt equally between large and smallcap stocks – covering a broad selection of industries.
What’s more we believe most of these businesses are underpinned by strong fundamentals and substantial upside in the event of predatory interest.
According to Factset Mergerstat/BVR, the average bid premium paid for such deals between 2004-14 was 30% – with the figure trending upwards since the global financial crisis.
Happy investing. Published 27th August 2019